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Conjuncture of the Brazilian economy

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The Brazilian economy is stable and is performing well. The country risk has significantly decreased since 2002 and has reached historical levels. The economy has been stabilized and is now expected to grow by 3% to 4% in the next decade. According to current expectations, Brazil will reach the "investment grade" in the next 3 to 5 years.

Inflation is decreasing and is now under control

The economic policies implemented since the launch of the "Real Plan" introduced in 1994 have been successful in combating the Inflation which is now controlled. According to the current target of the Brazilian government, inflation (measured by IPCA) should reach the level of 4.5% in 2006.

Inflation (IPCA Index) - Sources: FGV (2002-2005), IPEA (2006)

The Brazilian economy is growing and represented USD 797 billions in 2005

Gross Domestic Product - GDP (in USD millions) - Sources: FGV (2002-2005), IPEA (2006)

The Brazilian economy has known a significant growth in 2004 and 2005 and will continue growing in the next years, according to analysts.

Real Variation of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in % - Sources: FGV (2002-2005), IPEA (2006)

Brazilian exports increased continuously since 2002

Exports FOB (in USD millions) - Sources: FGV (2002-2005), IPEA (2006)

Trade Balance is performing well and had a significant surplus in 2004 and 2005

Trade Balance (in USD millions) - Sources: FGV (2002-2005), IPEA (2006)

Public debt decreased in % of GDP since 2003

The Brazilian government recently liquidated its external debt indexed to USD.

Public debt (in % of GDP) - Sources: FGV (2002-2005), IPEA (2006)

Utilization of industrial capacity is increasing since 2003

Utilization of industrial capacity - Sources: FGV (2002-2005), IPEA (2006)

Brazilian unemployment unemployment is decreasing since 2003

Brazilian Unemployment - Sources: FGV (2002-2005), IPEA (2006)


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© César Ramos, "The Brazilian economy", www.cesarramos.com, April 2006, São Paulo, Brazil.


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